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Thread: One by one, until there are none ..... |
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#1
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I just read this thread and a couple of the linked articles.
New York, North Carolina, Rhode Island, Illinois, Arkansas, California, Alabama, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Louisiana - One by one, state after state is considering, and most are passing, an Affiliate-Nexus tax law, followed by a mass exodus of merchants. Are the Amazons, Overstocks, Hammacher Schlemmers, CSNs, etc, etc knowingly engaged in a piecemeal closure of their affiliate programs? Are they in a dream world, believing the plague will end and they will be left with 35 states full of sales-generating affiliates? Are they waiting out a court battle that will take another five years, despite the loss of sales and good will in the interim? Will they have an epiphany, realize they are effectively wiping out their own money-making programs, and reinstate terminated affiliates? Will the pool of merchants available to affiliates be limited to a handful of low-paying national B&M operators like Walmart, KMart, Macys, and Sears? I have a plan, but I am still depressed.
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#2
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![]() But, if worse comes to worse... ![]() We can forget about the pool of merchants available, and just fill our tub with good niche related independent merchants... There are still plenty of them, out there...
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#3
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You make a good point (as usual) Mr. Sal.
Smaller merchants - for me, that are located in CALIFORNIA - are what I need to stake out. (that plan just took a slight detour, but for the better) In past years, I did use more, smaller merchants much more extensively than I do now, but having been burned by a few in the past, I now generally promote fewer but bigger merchants. By burned, I mean not just in losing commissions when some have disappeared, but even more so in the sense of having to do frequent change outs to replace links that die overnight when a tabletools.com or a cookbros.com or a kitchenetc.com or a brandsmall.com go out of business, or when a program closes with little notice. As I think about this as I write, I now believe that smaller, in-state merchants programs are the way to go, at least for the next few years until the affiliate-nexus tax issue is resolved one way or another. Thank you Mr. Sal.
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New design, same blood-curdling content: theHoundDawgSportsBlog aarf "If you don't have time to do it right, when will you have time to do it over?" -John Wooden; "It's inexcusable for scientists to torture animals; let them make their experiments on journalists and politicians." -Henrik Ibsen |
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#4
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#5
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Many smaller merchants will fall under the sales cap within that State and may be excluded from reporting sales and collecting sales tax...
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If I were doing any better, they'd have to clone me! |
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#6
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This may not work for affiliates in Montana or North Dakota, but it seems workable for California. I wonder of New Yorkers with the most experience dealing with the issue have followed this to any extent (or if the pool of merchants available to them has largely become only the Walmarts and in-state merchants, [a slightly modified version of my original thought])?
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New design, same blood-curdling content: theHoundDawgSportsBlog aarf "If you don't have time to do it right, when will you have time to do it over?" -John Wooden; "It's inexcusable for scientists to torture animals; let them make their experiments on journalists and politicians." -Henrik Ibsen |
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#7
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That sounds good, but as more affiliates join such smaller programs and their sales rise, will they still keep their affiliate programs or will the trend be that once the threshold is met, they then dump affiliates?
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New design, same blood-curdling content: theHoundDawgSportsBlog aarf "If you don't have time to do it right, when will you have time to do it over?" -John Wooden; "It's inexcusable for scientists to torture animals; let them make their experiments on journalists and politicians." -Henrik Ibsen |
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#8
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You could also look closely at larger stores like REI, who has a physical presence already in a lot of states..
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#9
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Most states' sales tax agencies are already under-funded. I'm not even sure if agencies in multiple states could legally pool resources to identify scofflaw merchants. As we see more publishers excluded by Amazon and others due to the unconstitutional advertising-nexus laws, I don't think there's any significant impact on Amazon's sales to those states, and I'm confident that publishers in other states (and nations) will benefit. I expect that Amazon's payouts to its "Associates" are continuing to increase year-over-year, despite the impact of these laws. (It would be nice if Amazon could document the shift of advertising fees from "nexus" states to other states when these laws are passed.) I have suggested (on ABW) that merchants should seriously consider whether maintaining an affiliate program in the current climate is a wise business decision, given the "gotcha" risks (as in New York, whose law was retroactive). For merchants whose affiliate programs represent a very small source of sales, the risks of being forced to collect sales tax (or worse, pay sales tax for transactions where the tax wasn't collected) might far outweigh the benefit from the entire affiliate program. An alternative strategy, for merchants seeking to avoid the impact of "nexus" laws, would be to exclude U.S. residents (or allow only residents from the five states which impose NO sales tax). Of course, most merchants will continue their affiliate programs unchanged, merely excluding publishers in each state which enacts an unconstitutional "advertising-nexus" law.
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Free Affiliate-Program Advice for Merchants (11-part series) ... Web Site Checklist for Merchants I Am Not A Lawyer (Any More) ... Affiliate Arbitrage ... http://www.MarkWelchBlog.com . Last edited by markwelch; June 21st, 2011 at 11:55 AM. |
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#10
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I think Montana has no sales tax and come to think of it I would like to live there if it didn't get so cold.
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#11
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Not sure that Amazon is significantly effected by losing affiliates in those states since they can still advertise directly. I compete with dealers for my biggest merchant and they have Amazon stores. I see Amazon advertising in AdWords for the trademark. Those sales go to the deals, Amazon and the merchant in a three way split.
I would think that Amazon gets less exposure without state specific affiliates but then it spreads to other affiliates. Its a game that Amazon is playing backed by the Supreme Court ruling. It will take many years for studies to support that states using the tax nexus to shutdown affiliates are costing jobs and tax dollars (if it ever is proven). Since affiliates are largely invisible its difficult to show them on the news other than when they march on the capital. We need a more effective way to show our presence and the impact on tax revenue. |
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#12
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Finding in-state niche merchants is a viable back-up plan for some, but not everyone.
Imagine trying to run a valuable comparison shopping site without access to all the stores. It's not possible. I'm not sure what my back-up plan is, but it will probably involve moving out of CA to continue doing business in a way that is best for customers (which is of course best for me too). I know this has been discussed before, but is there any way to legitimately establish a corporation and/or residency in another state to avoid the inevitable terminations?
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#13
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Short of that or moving to another state, I doubt it.
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New design, same blood-curdling content: theHoundDawgSportsBlog aarf "If you don't have time to do it right, when will you have time to do it over?" -John Wooden; "It's inexcusable for scientists to torture animals; let them make their experiments on journalists and politicians." -Henrik Ibsen |
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#14
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You guys can move North to Oregon. Portland is a nice city.
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#15
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I've lived in CA since Earl Warren was guv.
Hard to teach an ole dawg new living and cultural arrangements. Oregon, huh? I've flown over it many times, but never been on the ground there.
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New design, same blood-curdling content: theHoundDawgSportsBlog aarf "If you don't have time to do it right, when will you have time to do it over?" -John Wooden; "It's inexcusable for scientists to torture animals; let them make their experiments on journalists and politicians." -Henrik Ibsen |
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#16
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If you think your income will take an very heavy hit, then it is something to consider. I know that I can not run my price comparison website without the online only retailers. So I might actually lose greater than 50% of my revenue because my conversion rates would be greatly reduced.
I used to live in Seattle and I drove down to Portland to visit friends or go to events (museums, concerts, hiking, beach) several times a year. I always liked visiting Portland because it is smaller than Seattle and I felt more relaxed. At the time I was living and working in downtown Seattle, so I had to deal with all of the inner city type problems (e.g. police helicopters, shootouts, drug dealers/users, prostitutes, etc). Oregon and Washington have great scenic beauty. The Pacific Northwest is awesome, magical even.
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#17
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I know Seattle pretty well - my daughter has lived there the past 5 yrs and we generally go up once or twice a year. But she & my son-in-law are not planning on staying there too much longer. When they move they've said they'd like us to move also, but none of us have any idea where that might be, though New England is a possibility. Any sales-tax-free states in NE?
Tying this in with income hits, my most important merchant is located in Mass (and they have terminated affiliates in other affiliate-nexus tax states), so that could possibly work out well.
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New design, same blood-curdling content: theHoundDawgSportsBlog aarf "If you don't have time to do it right, when will you have time to do it over?" -John Wooden; "It's inexcusable for scientists to torture animals; let them make their experiments on journalists and politicians." -Henrik Ibsen |
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#18
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The state I was going to move to is New Hampshire, which has no sales tax. I went on a scouting trip once and really enjoyed it. You can live pretty close to the Mass.. border. I think some people commute to Boston. We liked it because of the good public schools with low teacher/student ratios. Very cold though.
Delaware is also Tax Free. I wasn't too impressed with it though. We loved Seattle and of course Amazon is based in Washington. I would probably live in an outlying city though, maybe Woodinville, Issaquah, Redmond, or even Bainbridge, instead of living close in to the city.
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#19
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I especially like Whidbey Island. That seems like it would be a really nice area to live, at least the southern part that is very "country". The northern part is much more commercialized.
My daughter lives in Maple Leaf, in NE Seattle. Its a very nice looking area, expensive houses, quiet, convenient to shopping, entertainment, restaurants, etc., but we were absolutely shocked to learn about the high crime rate there: Houses and cars broken into, packages stolen from porches, etc. One reason they want to move.
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New design, same blood-curdling content: theHoundDawgSportsBlog aarf "If you don't have time to do it right, when will you have time to do it over?" -John Wooden; "It's inexcusable for scientists to torture animals; let them make their experiments on journalists and politicians." -Henrik Ibsen |
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#20
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I grew up near Seattle and it's nice. You don't notice the rain until you move away and then go back to visit. But Oregon is probably safer since they have no state sales tax at all. Or a ski condo on the Nevada side of Tahoe...
Are you guys going to Affiliate Summit East? It would be great to meet up.
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#21
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#22
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If you live close enough to another state, can't you legitimately move your business to that state baring you set up a proper office and spend a substantial amount of time in the office?
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#23
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Here's my post from an earlier discussion thread: Quote:
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Free Affiliate-Program Advice for Merchants (11-part series) ... Web Site Checklist for Merchants I Am Not A Lawyer (Any More) ... Affiliate Arbitrage ... http://www.MarkWelchBlog.com . Last edited by markwelch; June 21st, 2011 at 04:39 PM. |
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#24
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I've read that post before and I've never consulted my lawyer and / or accountant on the issue as it hasn't affected me (yet). I guess it would depend on how the law was written in a particular state but your reply doesn't address setting up a real business, with a real office that you actually go to daily (or almost daily). Not a mail drop, not a registered agent, not anything but a real office that you actually go to.
So for instance, you live in MD on the MD / DE border. Its very possible for you to have an office to go to in DE daily. Edit: Can you point to something where it explains why you have to move your residency? So for example, Tim Storm actually moved his family from IL to WI? Or just moved his office that he goes to everyday? Last edited by gcarson; June 21st, 2011 at 05:09 PM. |
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#25
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Unfortunately NV is 3 hrs and Oregon 6 hrs, so that would make a tough daily commute. Until I can afford that private jet.
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| affiliate programs, affiliate tax, affiliate-nexus tax law, amazon, amazon tax |
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