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  1. #1
    Affiliate Marketing Consultant Andy Rodriguez's Avatar
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    Hurricane Dennis
    Here we go again ...


    Hurricane Dennis Intermediate Advisory Number 15a

    Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on July 08, 2005

    ...Dangerous category 4 Hurricane Dennis continues to become
    better organized south of central Cuba...

    a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Cuba for The Provinces of la
    Habana...Ciudad de la Habana...Matanzas... Villa Clara...
    Cienfuegos...Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...Camaguey...Las
    Tunas...Granma...Santiago de Cuba...Holguin and Guantanamo. A
    Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Isle of Youth and the
    province of Pinar del Rio.

    A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the lower Florida Keys
    from the Seven Mile Bridge westward to the Dry Tortugas. A
    Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch is in effect for the
    remainder of the Florida Keys...east of the Seven Mile Bridge to
    Ocean Reef and Florida Bay.

    At 800am EDT...1200z...the government of the Cayman Islands has
    replaced the Hurricane Warning for the Cayman Islands with a
    Tropical Storm Warning for Cayman Brac and Little Cayman islands.
    All warnings have been discontinued for Grand Cayman Island.

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect along the Florida West Coast
    south of Bonita Beach...and along the Florida East Coast south of
    Golden Beach. A tropical storm watch is in effect along the
    Florida West Coast north of Bonita Beach to Longboat Key.

    A hurricane or Tropical Storm Warning means that hurricane or
    tropical storm conditions...respectively...are expected within the
    warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life
    and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane
    Warning area. A hurricane or tropical storm watch means that
    hurricane or tropical storm conditions...respectively...are
    possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

    Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean Sea...Florida...and the
    eastern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.

    For storm information specific to your area...including possible
    inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
    by your local weather office.

    At 8 am EDT...1200z...the eye of Hurricane Dennis was located near
    latitude 20.9 north...longitude 79.5 west or about 230 miles...
    370 km...southeast of Havana Cuba and about 285 miles...460 km...
    south-southeast of Key West Florida.

    Dennis is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph ...19 km/hr.
    Dennis has made a slight wobble and has slowed down slightly during
    the past 6 hours. However...a general motion to the northwest...
    along with a gradual increase forward speed...is expected to resume
    later today and continue during the next 24 hours. On this
    track...the eye of Dennis will reach the south-central coast of Cuba
    later today.

    Maximum sustained winds remain near 135 mph...215 km/hr...with
    higher gusts. Dennis is a category four hurricane on the
    Saffir-Simpson scale. Some additional strengthening is possible
    before landfall in Cuba.

    Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 50 miles... 85 km...
    from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
    to 140 miles...220 km.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb...28.05 inches.

    Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to
    10 inches over Cuba...with local 15 inch amounts over the Sierra
    maestra mountains of southeastern Cuba. Rainfall of 4 to 8 inches
    is expected over extreme southern Florida...Jamaica and the Cayman
    Islands. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods
    and mud slides.

    Storm surge flooding of 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels...
    along with large and dangerous battering waves...are likely in
    areas of onshore winds along the southeast coast of Cuba east of
    Cabo cruz. A much larger storm surge of near 20 feet is possible
    along the southern coast of Cuba west of Cabo cruz. A storm surge
    of 3 to 6 feet is possible in the lower Florida Keys.

    Repeating the 8 am EDT position...20.9 N... 79.5 W. Movement
    toward...northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph.
    Minimum central pressure... 950 mb.

    The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center
    at 11 am EDT.

    Forecaster Stewart
    We will be in and out today, making pre liminary preparations and having essentials in place. We are well equiped with shutters ready to go, generator back up set up and plenty of fuel.

    Currently, it does not look like the eye will hit us but we will get the 40 - 74 mph tropical winds by our area and they are forcasting 5 - 8 inches of rain which we don't need since we are already flooded.

    @Kellie - this is a nasty one and looks to be aiming at your next of the woods, this is no tropical storm...
    Andy Rodriguez Consulting, Affiliate Program Management and Consulting Services, Since 2001
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  2. #2
    Defender of Truth, Justice and the Affiliate Way
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    Be safe Andy. And don't forget those wonderful hurricane food supplies.

    To all in this storms potential path...take care and be safe! Projected landfall is currently around Gulf Shores/Pensacola area (you guys in those areas get the heck out if you can). As things look now, being on the west side of the storm things are looking less dangerous for me at the moment. But I'm certainly keeping a close 'eye' on it.

    It is currently a Cat. 4 storm...nothing to ingnore. Maximum winds right now around 135 mph. It has a very well formed eye and is expected to probably gain more strength once past Cuba. Tropical storm winds (which can be very destructive as we saw here with Cindy) extend 140 miles.

    For all of those on the Gulf Coast please pay attention to where this storm is going. From what I heard today, they are expecting a more violent landfall than Ivan last year.

  3. #3
    Pimp Duck popdawg's Avatar
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    You guys and everyone else in the path take care!
    ================================================================
    Been away, now I'm back. Not as much, but I'm back & starting from scratch. Where I was, was fantastic. Where I am now, less so. Things have changed, become harder. So have I. Game ON!!!
    ================================================================

  4. #4
    15 years and counting
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    Home Depot is going to do a killing again. Can't believe it's happening so soon, it's the season but it's not a reason. I had to cancel my trip to Paradise Island, Bahamas, last week the weather forecast was bad but I was not expecting that. Stay safe.

  5. #5
    Affiliate Marketing Consultant Andy Rodriguez's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Zeus
    I had to cancel my trip to Paradise Island, Bahamas, last week the weather forecast was bad but I was not expecting that. Stay safe.
    Zeus, plan it again around the weeknd of July 29 and drop by my seminar at the Intercontinental, would love to buy you a few drinks and chat with you...

    HD is definitely posting some nice numbers, in the keys they are already sold out of lumber again...

    Dennis has intensified as of the 11:00 AM advisory:

    Reconnaissance aircraft data indicate maximum sustained winds have
    increased to near 150 mph...240 km/hr...with higher gusts. Dennis
    is a strong category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some
    weakening is forecast as Dennis moves over Cuba...but is expected
    to remain a major hurricane as it emerges over The Straits of
    Florida and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight.

    Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 50 miles... 85 km...
    from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
    to 160 miles...260 km.
    Nothing in Cuba can sustain 150 mph winds.....
    Andy Rodriguez Consulting, Affiliate Program Management and Consulting Services, Since 2001
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  6. #6
    15 years and counting
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    I've a hard time to keep up with my planning, Andy. But if I can, I'll be there, I know you are gathering nice peole at your seminar. There's a few good places around Bayside, too.

  7. #7
    Resident Genius and Staunch Capitalist Leader's Avatar
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    Good luck to all of you in the way!

    in the keys they are already sold out of lumber again...
    I have to ask, why do people re-buy lumber instead of just reusing the stuff from the last storm? I'd just put the old window boards in the garage unless there is a compelling reason not to...
    There is no knowledge that is not power. ~Hemingway

  8. #8
    pph Expert! Gordon's Avatar
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    Take care you guys, let us know your safe ASAP.


    I have to ask, why do people re-buy lumber instead of just reusing the stuff from the last storm? I'd just put the old window boards in the garage unless there is a compelling reason not to...
    I think I know the answer to this one Leader......

    They are Americans....... a race of people not noted for their superior intelligence, the odd few intelligent ones were probably educated in the good old UK or were home educated by their European immigrant parents

    Your question makes me think you might have UK or Canadian ancestry Leader.

    Before anyone takes offence IT IS MEANT AS A JOKE!!!
    One day parasites and their ilk will be made illegal, I bet a few Lawyers will be pissed off when the day comes.
    Mr. Spitzer is fetching it nearer

    YouTrek

  9. #9
    Internet Cowboy
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    Andy,
    Get on I-95 and go north about 260 miles, take a right, go a few miles, turn left and we're the 7th house on the left.
    We have plenty of food for the grill and cold beer


  10. #10
    Resident Genius and Staunch Capitalist Leader's Avatar
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    Your question makes me think you might have UK or Canadian ancestry Leader.~Gordon
    You may have been joking, but you actually hit it.

    Grandfather: UK
    Great-grandmother (from grandmother's side): Canada

    Never met great-grandma, and I wasn't home-schooled (I was just a bit early to catch that wave), but I did get a lot of influence from Grandpa.
    There is no knowledge that is not power. ~Hemingway

  11. #11
    ABW Ambassador danay's Avatar
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    Be safe folks. I'm in Ft. Lauderdale which doesn't expect landfall, but we're still vigilant. Especially after last season.

    I'm just trying to get in touch with all of my relatives in Cuba right now, hoping everyone weathers this storm ok. Every hurricane season is a waiting game with our hearts in our throats hoping family is ok.

    peace and safety to all.
    Danay @ LunaSolMedia.com
    Global Perfomance Marketing. Global Niche Markets = Opportunity!
    HispanicYa!|MallFreebies

    I dwell in possibility. ~Emily Dickinson

  12. #12
    Defender of Truth, Justice and the Affiliate Way
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    I have to ask, why do people re-buy lumber instead of just reusing the stuff from the last storm? I'd just put the old window boards in the garage unless there is a compelling reason not to...
    LOL Leader. Not everyone did it the last time...but they realized what could happen if they didn't, so they are doing it for the first time. Some folks wanted to do it last time but the lumbar ran out so they still didn't have any for this time. Not everyone has a place to store all those boards (both residential and businesses). It can be a lot of boards depending on how big your windows are and how many you have. Some folks had the boards they bought last time trashed by the storm and they weren't worth saving. And some boards get ruined taking them down. There's always a new demand for lumber with each storm. There's always a need for lumbar even with the folks who do save it and some do that.

    Danay, I hope you are able to contact your family soon and that they are safe and sound. Someone told me earlier today that 85% of the lines were down in Cuba, so communication may be tough for a bit yet. Unless a HAM radio is involved.

  13. #13
    Resident Genius and Staunch Capitalist Leader's Avatar
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    Ah, thanks. I thought there had to be something behind this constant need for lumber...
    There is no knowledge that is not power. ~Hemingway

  14. #14
    ABW Ambassador Greg Rice's Avatar
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    Hope all those in the path stay safe. Good luck.
    Greg Rice Affiliate Program Management
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  15. #15
    Affiliate Marketing Consultant Andy Rodriguez's Avatar
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    Well, worse part of the threat has gone by us. We have some trees down, our outdoor area is a mess with everything scattered around but thankfully no major damage to house or surrounding areas.

    Some of the winds in the middle of the night and the rain slamming horizontally did manage to wake us up, I was up most of the night...

    Our Golden Retriever was freaking out, he slept in my son's bed all night...

    It's very early in the season for a close uncounter like this but on a good note it got us ready for the season really quick. The most we had was maybe 40 - 50 mph gusts and that was enough to make you have respect for mother nature, 50 mph winds can sure blow alot of stuff around.....

    Everyone is the panhandle all the way to LA needs to keep a close eye...this is a nasty wet one for sure..

    @Danay - I hope all your relatives are ok, i know this caused major damage to the already shabby structures in central Cuba...

    And just as we get out of the woods with Dennis, they announce another wave leaving the coast of Africa and expect it to intensify quickly..

    Stay safe everyone
    Andy Rodriguez Consulting, Affiliate Program Management and Consulting Services, Since 2001
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  16. #16
    Outsourced Program Manager Jorge - SHOPiMAR's Avatar
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    Glad we made it through this one Andy.

    Heavy rains here and winds knocked down a powerline nearby on a car around 4am, caught fire so we had no power for about 5 hours.

    Danay, hope family is safe, Mine are in eastern parts so they missed the heavy parts of the storm, hopefully we will hear from them soon. But Havana is getting the worse part of storm.

    Careful with those north, LA area this one is dangerous.

  17. #17
    Content $ Queen Ebudae's Avatar
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    Glad to hear some made it through ok - all the rest in the path, take care!!!
    Ebudae


  18. #18
    Affiliate Marketing Consultant Andy Rodriguez's Avatar
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    Kellie....coming your way girl, get the out of dodge....

    You are invited to come to Miami early and hang with us, we have room for ya....

    This one looks nasty, alredy back up to 130+ mph winds..
    Andy Rodriguez Consulting, Affiliate Program Management and Consulting Services, Since 2001
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  19. #19
    Defender of Truth, Justice and the Affiliate Way
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    Definitely turning nasty....getting much more well defined and organized.

    I'm actually sitting pretty good with it right now. We are projected for only tropcial force winds. In the 40 mph range with gusts to 50. That's actually a bit less than we just got with Cindy. I slept straight through Cindy though it was a bit better here than right in NO. That's all contingent on it making it's NNW move sometime tonight which it hasn't done yet. About 30 minutes ago they revised to projected landfall west a bit from Pensacola more into AL since it's still moving just NW. Right now I'm more concerned about the folks in the FL panhandle, AL and MS coast line who will all probably be getting hurricane force winds. It will be back up to a Cat 4 at landfall.

    We did get some storms through here earlier this evening already from it, but have a break for a bit before the next squall lines come through.

    Folks in FL, AL and MS take care and evacuate to Andy's if need be. Seriously do take care. Good news is it looks like most of those folks already evacuated out yesterday. We had lots of traffic congestion in NO from the evacutions. In fact it looks like lots of folks east of us decided NO would be a good place to evacuate to and Bourbon street had quite a bit of foot traffic yesterday. I guess folks trying to make the best of a bad situation.

  20. #20
    Affiliate Manager dculpepper's Avatar
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    Well, we will be sitting here in South Mississippi waiting for it. I'm about 60 miles from the coast but we still expect to see some pretty rough stuff. Take care and good luck to everybody in it's path.


    David Culpepper
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  21. #21
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    Be safe everyone - my thoughts are with you.

  22. #22
    ABW Ambassador Radegast's Avatar
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    Yes - be safe everyone.

  23. #23
    Affiliate Manager dculpepper's Avatar
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    Looks like we are going to get lucky here in Mississippi but my thoughts and prayers will certainly be with everyone in the path of this storm.

    Take Care,

    David Culpepper
    MagazinesQuick.com

  24. #24
    Affiliate Marketing Consultant Andy Rodriguez's Avatar
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    This is going to be a fun season, I can see it now....may as well keep all my storm supplies inside the house and ready...

    Andy Rodriguez Consulting, Affiliate Program Management and Consulting Services, Since 2001
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  25. #25
    Defender of Truth, Justice and the Affiliate Way
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    Thankfully Dennis had far less impact than it could have.

    I saw that this evening also Andy. Maybe this one will turn and just go out into the Atlantic. We can hope. If this keeps up, we'll need a Hurricane Support Forum.

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